
The symposium on election 2004 that I participated in has been posted on RightWingNews.com. What will Nader's impact be? Will Colorado's ballot initiative, potentially splitting the state's electoral votes, pass? Will it then get challenged in court? Did the debates help Kerry or Bush? These and other questions are explored in this symposium featuring myself, and bloggers Lorie Byrd and Captain Ed. Check it out and feel free to comment here or on John Hawkins's site.
Remember that DC is not the real world. I do not believe that their is that much anti-Bush sentiment outside of DC, New York City, California, certain parts of Florida, and all of Academia.
Kerry has failed to imspire his base, he is losing Black voters and women. He is week in Gore states such as WI, IA, MI, MN, PA, NJ and even OR and WA. Bush will not win all of those, but Kerry is having to spend resources there that would otherise go to stealing AR or VA.
Of the eight states you mention, I think Bush might win one. Obviously, that wouldn't be bad for Bush given that he didn't win any of them last time around.
Democrats are more fired up to vote against Bush in 2004 than in 2000. In both elections, agreed, their support for their nominee might have been lukewarm. But there is nothing lukewarm about their disdain for Bush. Nor is this hate limited to traditional centers of liberalism.
You said that before, but I think you are wrong. I can see that in DC, but not up here. Is there anti-Bush sentiment? Yes. Is it overwhelming? No. It seems to be limited to the Michael Moore wing of the Democratic party, but by and large the rest of them are just not excited, be it to support Kerry or oppose Bush.
On the other hand the Bush supporters tend to be more excited and fired up to elect their candidate. That is why these states are even close. Look at the states we are fighting for, MN hasn't gone republican since 1972 and MI hasn't gone Republican since Dukakis rode in the tank.



