My original prediction was R 275 O 263. R wins McCain + IN, OH, VA, NC, FL, and CO. I believe that the polls are underestimating conservative enthusiasm, and voting machines are owned by members of the Romney family and corporations sympathetic to corporatist policies that will be ratified by Romney.
There are no voter tracking mechanisms coded on machines used in PA. Because of this, they are susceptible to systemic voter fraud, which could benefit Romney. Due to the R campaign's 10 million play over the weekend, a PA victory due to box stuffing and voter suppression in urban areas could be dismissed as simply a victory due to high conservative enthusiasm. Had I known this I would have amended my prediction on Intrade to an R 295 - O 243 election outcome.
Individual voter fraud, a manufactured, retarded non-issue raised by Teabags and establishment Republicans, is almost non-existent and only a handful of charges have been brought against individuals committing individual voter fraud over the past 15 or so years. Systemic voting fraud is a problem, and with no voter tracking mechanisms on Romney and corporate-owned machines, there is no way to discover or prosecute that type of systemic voter fraud.
I do think that polls are generally overestimating progressive enthusiasm and underestimating conservative enthusiasm. The main problem facing pollsters in determining voter demographics is that the country is becoming less and less white, which favors Democrats in elections. This is why Karl Rove, perhaps the greatest political mind of the past half century, aggressively tried to bring more minorities into the Republican tent.
In any other election year, Republicans would get trounced and there's really no clear path for Republicans to win national elections in the future if they continue to piss on minority voters. The country isn't white enough for Teabags and conservatives to win. 2012 is special because of the deplorable state of the economy and depressed liberal/progressive enthusiasm.
Actually, the systemic voter fraud related to Romney-owned machines in PA is much worse than I had originally managed. The touch-screen technology is calibrated to select Romney whether you tap Obama or Romney. There are multiple reports of this in Republican-leaning PA districts, and there will most likely be a Justice Dept. investigation of this phenomenon.
It's telling that Teabags and conservatives love the idea of corporate and candidate-owned voting machines. You'd have to live in an alternate universe, be a total ethical egoist, or be retarded to think that voting machines should be owned by private corporations and individuals, and not the American public.
PMA, we all know you don't like Republicans, but that's still no reason to resort to cheap shots such as calling us "Teabags", etc. It doesn't help your cause's image at all.
And for the record, this Illinois Republican voted for Gary Johnson.
PMA- "It's the economy stupid" James Carville
I actually guessed just the opposite. Last night I thought Obaama would win with 292 electoral votes. Looks like I was short, but still within the ballpark.
You don't get it Matt. PMA and his ilk have used the tactics of insults and character assassination successfully and there is apparently no reason to not continue because there are no penalties against people who act like and are assholes.
There is no payback for people like him in the modern United States of KKK.