02 / December
02 / December
1843 2012

I haven't watched "2012," but I still feel as though I've seen this movie before. In fact, several decades before the invention of motion pictures Americans watched "2012," only they called it "1843" back then. When the apocalypse came and went without incident, the Millerites who prophesied it were widely mocked. Therein lies the difference between predictions with deadlines and open-ended predictions. Though both are equally worthless, the former have a tendency of discrediting would-be Nostradamuses while the latter make their source seem sagacious, oracular even. It's hard enough for people to get the past right. Why are they so hubristic that they think they can pinpoint the end of the world? Anticipating the future, though a popular present pasttime, works when the future is still in the future, but once the future is history so is the prognosticator (or at least should be). It says as much about us as it does about predictions that we award them respect before their sell-by date but ridicule them the day after. Something never proven valid, which describes such conjecture both before and after its due date, should not be given credence. Today, 2012 is almost two years away. In 2013, 2012 will be 1843--at least that's my prediction.

posted at 10:30 AM
Comments

Y2K. Global Warming. Global Cooling. Pending Global financial meltdown. The list is endless. The sky is constantly falling with our leaders.I have a prediction. I predict this movie will be as good as Kevin Costner's Waterworld.

Posted by: Wayne Sash on December 2, 2009 11:28 AM

I asked some of the Myans hanging around outside the 7-11 what they thought about the end of the world, but they didn't seem to understand what I was talking about....

Posted by: Homer J. Fong on December 2, 2009 02:23 PM

Mayans...spelling...

Posted by: Homer J. Fong on December 2, 2009 02:24 PM

Homer, you kill me. LOL.

Posted by: asdf on December 2, 2009 03:02 PM

Good point. You should check out Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan. It's an entire book on the topic of this post and is good for challenging the way one thinks about knowledge and decision making.

Posted by: PMA on December 2, 2009 11:26 PM

What did O's right hand thug Emmanuel say - never waste a good crisis?

Keep the plebs scared and keep them on the defensive. They are much easier to control when they are convinced that Government is going to ride in and save them from something.

Posted by: asdf on December 3, 2009 06:46 AM

"They are much easier to control when they are convinced that Government is going to ride in and save them from something."
Absolutely true. And we see this also in the cases ofswine flu, bird flu, AIDS, economic "collapse", illicit drugs, terrorism, etc.

Posted by: Eric F. Langborgh on December 3, 2009 08:46 AM

Can i get a one small pic from your site?
Nicolas

Posted by: Nicolas on December 4, 2009 01:25 AM
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